Monday, May 7, 2012

Pink Slime Fallout

BREAKING: Beef Products announces it will permanently close three plants due to lost demand following pink slime "smear campaign." -- Feedstuffs (@Feedstuffs)

I'll Have Another owns Pimlico

From Josie Rudolphi

"I'm a sucker for the Farm Bureau Spokesman "

Planting Progress

Reuters poll of analyst guesses on planting progress...corn at 67% and soybeans at 22%. (Allendale numbers are 67% and 20%). -- Paul Georgy (@allendale_Paul)

Kids On Cow Farms May Have Fewer Allergies


Kids who grow up on farms and have contact with cows and cow milk are less likely to have allergies and asthma than kids raised nearby but not on a farm, according to a new study from Europe. Read full article here

As seen on BEEF Today email blast

Bean Planting Underway!

Another cool video from Scott Hingtgen- Jackson County, IA farmer planting beans. A short 1 min video with an exciting ending! You got to see this one!






Our Reply: That's awesome Scott, as always, thanks for sharing! I think we need to set up a camera fund to get you a new one.

One Year Anniversary!

Coming Next Week!

Saturday, May 5, 2012

ESPN News - I'll Have Another (from post position 19) wins Kentucky Derby, Bodemeister 2nd, Dullahan 3rd
My Churchill downs insider says put ur money on Garret Gomez daddy nose best... from Dustin Snakenburg

My Picks

1. Creative Cause
2. Union Rags
3. Dullahan
4. Bodemeister

KY DERBY INSIGHT

Bodemeister is looking even better in my eyes after Groupie Dolls win while being on the front.. -- Jordyn Burco (@JordynB27)

More Ky Derby Day Photos

Pre-Derby race at Churchill Downs, Louisville, KY... from Kristin Boe, News From The Coffee Shop Day Photographer!

From Nic Hanna- Benton County, IA

Farmin' last night... I love this job!

You Are Looking Live!

A look at Churchill Downs from the Jockey Club Suites.... from Kristin Boe, News From The Coffee Shop  day photographer live in Louisville, KY!

Ky Derby Longshots

if your lookin for long shots go with Daddy Nose Best, El Padrino, Went The Day Well or Sabercat! Good luck! @newscoffeeshop -- Jordyn Burco (@JordynB27)

Friday, May 4, 2012

From Jordyn Burco on Ky Oaks Results

I hope you used Belive You Can! Knew she was gonna get it done had Summer Applause for 4th 2. GraceHall 3rd.BroadwaysAlibi 2nd -- Jordyn Burco (@JordynB27)

Our Reply: Picks were spot on! Can we keep it going thru the Derby tomorrow?

Kentucky Oaks Winner

Believe you can wins the oaks! My 2nd pick! -- Jordyn Burco (@JordynB27)

Gardening

getting peppers and tomatoes to plant in the garden tonight #lifeonthefarm -- Justine Hosch (@farmers_gal)

Planting 2012

We are back in the fields, lets just hope the rain stays away for the next few days!!! -- Kyle Mehmen (@mbsfamilyfarms)

Kentucky Derby Hopefuls- 5 of 5


By Jordyn Burco

17. Done Talking (50-1) Hamilton Smith trainee– Can a slow horse win the Kentucky Derby? The answer is yes, it's happened before, and it will happen again. One of the things that needs to happen is a pace meltdown, and this year, there is a realistic chance of that taking place with the addition of the sprinter, Trinniberg to the field. The other thing that needs to happen, in order for a slow horse to wear the roses, is to have an overall lack of talent in the field. Unfortunately for Done Talking, I do not think that is true this year. In this field, it's much more likely a solid rally only takes the Illinois Derby winner to sixth or worse. He’s not a complete toss out, he looked good over Churchill, but these are the pro’s so he will have to step up a lot to win.
18. Sabercat (30-1) Just like Daddy Nose Best, this horse may be a “Wise guys horse.” He couldn't be any more ready for the derby, they already knew he had enough earnings when he won the $1 million delta jackpot last fall. Steve Asmussen the trainer, has been preparing this horse for the derby all winter and spring. He’s been an 8th and 3rd this year in graded stakes, which does worry me a tad. I’m not too worried about this gate position at all, should suit him just fine being on the outside. He’s out of Bluegrass Cat who finished 2nd in both the Kentucky Derby, Belmont and Travers which are all lengthy races, so the distance will be right up his alley. His broodmare line is also filled with gifted long distance runners. I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see this one finish in the top 5.




19. I’ll Have Another (12-1)- (Flower Alley-Arch's Gal Edith, by Arch) Doug O'Neill traine– He backed up his big upset in the Robert Lewis with a fantastic performance in the Santa Anita Derby to narrowly defeat Creative Cause. I'm not ready to place him above that rival, but he proved to me that he has the class to win in 3 1/2 weeks. He is bred to go ten furlongs, and will hit Churchill Downs as one of the most fresh horses in the race, leading me to believe he still may have more room for improvement. That is a scary proposition for the rest of the field. Another scary factor is that he can close like no other, which will be to his advantage in the derby. I really do like this horse, but just not on derby day. Look for him to do better things down the road. Like many others in this field, I wouldn't be surprised to see him win either. It took a lot out of me to not put him in my top 5, but he certainly is close to it. I just think I’ll Have Another pick on derby day.



20. Liaison (50-1) Only two horses have been able to overcome that spot to win the race. The last one was Big Brown in 2008, but he was a far more talented horse than Liaison, nearly winning the Triple Crown.After a successful 2011, Liaison hasn't been able to match that success this year. He hasn't finished in the money in any of his three starts while racing against some of the same horses that will be in the derby. So, it's difficult to find a bright side about his chances.
Just like Optimizer, Liaison would have provided some value with a better post, but isn't worth the risk having to travel from the outside. Find a better long shot.

ALSO ELIGIBLE - My Adonis will be entered if one of the horses above are scratched by 9 A.M. on Friday. A quick note about him if he's entered, he has no chance at all.

Good Read

Iowa Farm Bureau - Bullying the Farm Kid http://t.co/G1wtsDZ3 via @IowaFarmBureau -- Pete Burmeister (@newscoffeeshop)

Closing Grain Markets

CORN MAY 662.25+11.5s
BEANS MAY 1475+6.25s
LCAT JUN 115.725-0.15
LHOG MAY 79.675-1.625

Kentucky Derby Hopefuls- 4 of 5

By Jordyn Burco

13. Went The Day Well (20-1) - Great horse at a great price. Graham Motion is the trainee and is being rode by John Velazquez. This horse has the same trainer, jockey and owners that won the derby last year with Animal Kingdom. Team Valor quoted, that this horse is more along then Animal Kingdom was, and already has a win over dirt, unlike Animal Kingdom. This is a very intriguing, interesting horse. Couldn’t be anymore happier either with this post. I really want to use him in my trifecta, but what's holding me back is he may be not experienced enough, and hasn't seen stiff competition yet. He’s looking great at churchill, and has had some outstanding works over the dirt, but I’m not sure yet. If he wins, I sure won't be shocked, since he’s good enough. I look for this horse to be more talented down the road, just give him a couple more months and he could be the best 3 year old out there. I just may change my mind and use him, but hes currently sitting on my 4th spot. Put money on him, if you have faith in a beautiful, brilliant, yet untested quality colt!

14. Hansen (10-1) - Trainer is Michael Maker – Your Breeders Cup Juvenile winner and Eclipse 2 year old of the year. I truly believe that Hansen is a really good horse, and one of the best of his generation. The issue I have, and I expect Hansen will have, is that in no way does the Kentucky Derby set up well for him. I do not think ten furlongs will be his best distance, nor do I see much hope that Hansen will get much of a breather at anytime during the first six furlongs, and that is true if he is first early, or even fourth. Only one horse in the past 11 years has won the derby while having the lead. This year’s derby is going to have a very fast pace, which he will be involved with and will not set up will for him .Now the Preakness, on the other hand, could be an entirely different story. Did I tell ya he’s white? Well not exactly, he's registered grey but doesn't have much of that. He already has a win over Churchill’s surface, so who knows maybe he can hold on for the win, but I'm not seeing it.
15. Gemologist (6-1) - Undefeated 5 for 5! Very tempted to put him number 1. This horse runs just like his dad did, who is the only horse to win the Breeders Cup Classic twice. He has a turn of foot and is gritty just like Tiznow. Trained by Todd Pletcher – What's not to like? He's never been beaten, is well bred, has solid connections, has won already twice at churchill and showed another gear late in the Wood Memorial. The only thing I really question is has he had enough practice this year? He only ran twice this year and one of them was just an allowance field that he beat by 7 lengths. Post 15 is exactly what Todd Pletcher wanted, he will benefit greatly from this, way more then my other favorite Union Rags post. He’s looking like a superstar ever since he arrived at Churchill on Sunday, can definitely see him winning. Otherwise, I love this horse's chances and you don't want to get in a fight with this one, because good luck beating him. I love Union Rags, but even this horse is almost calling for me to put him at number 1.

16. El Padrino (20-1) - This may be your dark derby horse! Padrino is a Pulpit-Enchanted Rock, by Giant's Causeway and is trained by the top trainer in the country- Todd Pletcher. He will be ridden by Rafael Bejarano. I highly believe that he will fall in love with the Churchill downs surface and distance. He’s a mystery horse to a lot of people, and you may just want to put a bet on this horse. He’s one of your long shots for a reason- finishing 4th in the Florida derby. If his jockey wasn’t so concerned about Union Rags trip the whole time, this horse may have finished better than 4th, same with Rags. This horse is a true, gritty horse, and has what it takes in that heart to win the derby (as do a lot of horses). He won the Risen Star Stakes, beating Mark Veleski in a thriller finish, where the duo dulled down the stretch and Padrino would eventually pull clear to win. I will say the exact same thing about him as I did Union Rags, toss his Florida Derby performance out. The Florida Derby was just not his day as far as pace, track, and tactics, but what it really comes to for me, is that when a horse who has shown enough ability to be competitive against top horses, suddenly gets ten furlongs and a strong pace to boot, wonderful things can happen on the first Saturday in May. Wonderful things at excellent odds.


Next four horses will be released during the 3 PM hour... Done Talking, Sabercat, i'll Have Another, & Liaison

New Kentucky Derby Tab Above

Kentucky Derby Hopefuls- 3 of 5

By Jordyn Burco

9. Trinniberg (50-1) I will be majorly shocked and fall out of my seat if this one wins. This horse shouldn’t be placed in the derby. This is a true sprinter/miler but nothing more in my eyes. He’s only raced 7 furlongs, and he's going to be expected to race 10 furlongs? Not good training right there. This horse’s pedigree is nothing special, a horse can always outrun their pedigree, but thing is this horse is not even mentally or physically ready to run 10 furlongs without being ruined. This will most likely be your pace setter, and he’s the reason why horses like Dullahan, Creative Cause, Daddy Nose Best or Union Rags will love him setting such a fast pace. If they really wanted to run him in a TC race they should of waited till the Preakness Stakes. Who knows, maybe he will blow us away and go wire to wire, but I have high doubts about him Saturday. I do give him this, he may be the most gorgeous horse out there lol!



10. Daddy Nose Best ( 15-1)- The “Wise Guys Horse.” No horse could be peaking at the right time or training perfectly leading up to Saturday. I myself am very tempted to throw him in my top 4. There really isn’t anything bad to say about this horse, one may say who has he really faced? I think you should just scratch all that, this horse is way talented and could possibly be that long shot to win. His sire is Scat Daddy (same as Daddy Long Legs) which I don't care for at 10 furlongs, but looking at the broodmare line with Belmont Winner Thunder Gulch down there I’m thinking he won’t have any problems at 10 furlongs. I like his running style, and the way he seems to really want to grind it out all the way to the wire. He also should benefit from picking up Garrett Gomez, and seems to be thriving since arriving at Louisville. If he's good enough, he's eligible to run huge. Put your cash on this one folks!






11. Alpha (15-1) Owned by one of the biggest owners out there, Goldolphin. He’s had a great 2012 season with two wins and a second against Gemologist in the Wood. Alpha didn't have a great trip in the Wood, but still charged late to finish 2nd by a ¼ length. Gemologist was just too much for him that day. I beleive Alpha is a good, descent horse but he will never be better then Gemologist. I do like this horse quite a bit, especially with Bernardini in his breeding, but  I worry a little that he is not 100% since his recent minor hiccup, and that is no way to come up to a race like the Derby. If he had been one of my standouts, I might be more willing to believe he can overcome the little setback. He did have a bullet work out at Belmont before arriving to Churchill last week, but that still isn't enough to prove he can win.


12. Prospective (30-1) This horse in my mind has no chance at all. Same for Trinniberg, if he wins I will be blown away. Though he is a grandson of A.P. Indy and Awesome Again, who is likely to relish 1 1/4 miles. I just think he’s outclassed by this talented group. If it was last year's derby, I may have given him a second thought, but I’m having troubles doing that this year. He won the Tampa Bay Derby, 2nd in the Sam F. Davis and a disappointing 6th in the Toyota Blue Grass. In the Breeders Cup Juvenile he finished another sad 13th at Churchill last fall, so I’m thinking Churchill downs won’t be to his liking, but race him again back at Tampa Bay Downs in Florida and he shall win again!



Next four horses will be released during the 1 PM hour... Went The Day Well, Hansen, Gemologist, & El Padrino