Kentucky Derby Profiles 3 of 4

Kentucky Derby Profiles 3 of 4




Black Onyx - This horse won the Spiral Stakes. This horse has not run in 6 weeks and this may be a knock. This is about the same for Will Take Charge. Animal Kingdom won the Spiral, but this horse is not in the same class as Animal Kingdom. Maybe, I could be wrong, but I doubt it. This horse could be something special though, later in the year. He can win on dirt, turf and synthetic. He has pedigree that can handle the distance, but in his 5 lifetime starts, he has only faced Gr. 3 competition. He will be running with the big dogs Saturday, and he will need to step up to win. Mid-pack finisher the best, unless the track is off.


Palice Malice - I actually really do like this horse, but I'm having a hard time using him. He has been pushed hard to get to the Derby, and I'm thinking that its going to be to much. He first ran in the Louisiana Derby, but had the worst trip on the planet, then raced 2 weeks later in the Bluegrass, finishing a good 2nd on a surface that he wouldn't prefer. Then 3 weeks he runs in the Derby. That's a lot of running for horse. I love his pedigree, he has distance written all over him. Three starts in 5 weeks, against the best competition is hard for a horse to do. On the other hand, he may be coming into his own too. Hes going to be a good, live long shot, who's very tempting to play.

Normandy Invasion - Here we are! If I don't use Orb to win, then most likely 99% its going to be this guy. Everyone's going to be using him as their wise guy horse. He should be sitting in mid-pack with a great position to strike the front when it counts. He has been doing fabulous in the morning training sessions. He has such a huge turn of foot and explosiveness, making him a lock for me to finish in the money. The one question is, will he wait to long or get there to short? His pedigree says 1 1/4 may be stretching it, but this one has shown he can outrun his pedigree. He ran an amazing, fast 2nd place in the Wood, he was clearly the fastest horse in the race. In his previous start before that, he ran 3rd, only getting beat by 1 1/2 lengths...he had the worst trip of all horses though. This one will relish the extra distance, and long stretch drive at Churchill.

Frac Daddy - This horse has been known to like Churchill Downs, winning a stakes race there last fall.Plus he has been training pretty good over the surface. In the holly bull, he grabbed a quarter so toss that performance out, then in the FL Derby, he totally flopped. Didn't look good one bit. Then he comes back to the Arkansas Derby a few weeks later to finish 2nd. This horse raises so many questions, did he just not like the Gulfstream Park track? So, I'm going to say that If I were you I'd pass. There's just to many questions to be asked about him. I think most people would be surprised if he finished in the top 10.


My Lute - Here is another 'Normandy Invasion' kind of horse. He's defiantly my dark horse. He is improving with each race, which includes a solid, only 1/2 length loss to Revolutionary in the LA Derby. He is also out running his pedigree, so he should be fine at 1 1/4 distance. If not a derby winner, then a top Preakness contender. This horse I can guarantee you will finish in the top 5. Then again, we all know anything is possible. This one will hook up with the closers in the stretch, and run with them.